Spain v Portugal Euro 2025 Free Bets & Match Preview

Spain v Portugal Euro 2025 Free Bets & Match Preview

Spain Women v Portugal Women Preview: Iberian Drama, Dancing Shoes & Free Bet Fun
Women’s European Championship | Group Stage | Thursday 3rd July, 2025 | 8pm UK Time | Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

As the sun sets over the Bernese skyline and the bratwurst vendors fire up their grills, there’ll be very little serenity inside Stadion Wankdorf on Thursday night. That’s when World Champions Spain Women and their Iberian neighbours Portugal collide in what promises to be a tasty Euro 2025 curtain-raiser for Group A. It’s an all-Iberian clash with a sprinkling of recent history, a pinch of high stakes, and a healthy side dish of “we know how this usually ends.”

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Spanish Eyes on the European Crown

So here they are—La Roja, fresh from conquering the globe in 2023 and looking to add a European title to their burgeoning trophy cabinet. But for all the flair, accolades and Instagram followers, there’s still one little thing missing: a European crown. Yes, remarkably, Spain have never won the Euros. And for a side bursting with as much talent as a Champions League draw, that’s a stat that rankles.

This will be Spain’s fourth consecutive appearance at the tournament, and they certainly didn’t faff about in qualifying. They steamrolled their group, winning five of their six fixtures, including breezy performances against Denmark, Belgium and the Czech Republic. A draw here, a demolition there—it was more procession than progression.

And yet, despite all this, there’s still the quarter-final curse. La Roja have fallen at the last-eight hurdle in each of the last three tournaments, most recently bowing out in extra time to eventual winners England back in 2022. A cruel twist of fate, or just a lesson in defensive frailty? Either way, Montse Tomé’s side are determined to write a different script this time around.

Their group—featuring Portugal, Belgium and Italy—is no walk in the park, but Spain are approaching it with the confidence of a team on a five-match winning streak. They’ve recently battered Portugal 4-2 and 7-1 in the Nations League (that’s a 11-3 aggregate scoreline, if you’re keeping count), and even managed to come from behind to beat Japan 3-1 in a friendly on Sunday. It’s the sort of form that makes neutral fans purr—and bookmakers fidget nervously.

Portugal’s Steady Rise… and a Few Setbacks

Now, let’s talk about Portugal. While Spain strut into Bern in full flight, Portugal are more the ‘steady chug up the hill’ kind of outfit. This is their third straight Euros, and although they’re yet to make it past the group stage, the signs are pointing towards quiet improvement.

Their qualifying campaign had a whiff of drama about it. Thanks to the Nations League format, Portugal were cast into the playoffs after winning their League B group, and they promptly made light work of Azerbaijan with an 8-1 aggregate win. That set up a tricky two-leg tie with the Czech Republic. A 1-1 draw in Prague was followed by a tense 2-1 away win, courtesy of a brace from none other than Diana Silva, the woman who might just be Portugal’s golden ticket.

But it’s not all sunshine and sangria. Portugal’s recent Nations League campaign was a bit of a mess, if we’re being kind. They finished rock bottom in a group with Spain, England and Belgium, and were immediately relegated back to League B—like arriving at the wrong party in the wrong outfit and being politely escorted out.

Their form hasn’t picked up since. They haven’t won in five matches, their most recent performance a goalless draw against Nigeria. In fact, the last time they tasted victory was way back in February, when they nicked a 1-0 against Belgium. It’s been tumbleweeds since then.

Team News: Absences, Setbacks & Surprise Starters

Spain, annoyingly for them, will be without two regulars: Laia Codina, the Arsenal centre-back, and Real Madrid’s classy midfielder Teresa Abelleira, both of whom are sidelined through injury. And as if that wasn’t enough to induce a sigh, there’s the saga of Aitana Bonmatí. The two-time Ballon d’Or winner has just rejoined the squad after a spell in hospital battling viral meningitis. While her mere presence is a boost, she’s highly unlikely to feature on Thursday.

This might pave the way for young Vicky López to step in—a player with enough hype to make a seasoned pro raise an eyebrow. Expect her to form a midfield trinity with Patri Guijarro and Alexia Putellas, as Spain look to boss the ball like they invented passing.

In defence, we’re likely to see Ona Batlle, Irene Mendez, Laia Aleixandri, and Olga Carmona line up ahead of Cata Coll in goal. Up front, Claudia Pina, Mariona Caldentey, and Lucía García González should keep Portugal’s back line plenty occupied, possibly to the point of disorientation.

On the other side of the Iberian divide, Portugal will be without experienced striker Carolina Mendes, who misses the tournament through injury. But hope remains in the form of Kika Nazareth, despite her having not played since March due to an ankle problem. She’s included in the squad, though whether she’ll be match-ready is another matter entirely.

Portugal’s main threat will almost certainly be Diana Silva, who’s expected to lead the line alongside Jessica Silva. Together, they form the kind of duo that can both frustrate and flash brilliance—think Sunday League strike partnership with a sprinkle of top-level finishing.

Behind them, look for a midfield composed of Andreia Norton, Tatiana Pinto, and Fátima Pinto, with Joana Martins Borges and Ana Seica likely to support from wide and defensive roles. Patrícia Morais Teixeira is expected to keep goal and pray.

Prediction: Spain 3-1 Portugal

Right, let’s get to the fun bit. Spain have been many things in recent years: stylish, clinical, fast-paced… but not exactly rock-solid at the back. They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches, and Portugal will see that as an opportunity to at least trouble the scorers. A scrappy goal, a lucky bounce, or a moment of Silva brilliance—Portugal will likely get on the board.

But that’s probably where the joy ends. Spain are simply a better-oiled machine, and even without Bonmatí pulling strings, they’ve got enough talent on the pitch to orchestrate a convincing win. A 3-1 scoreline feels about right—goals, gaps, and a late flourish once Portugal’s legs begin to tire.

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Final Whistle

So there you have it. Two teams from the same peninsula, but seemingly from different footballing galaxies. Spain arrive with swagger, silverware and a blueprint. Portugal show up with hope, heart and the knowledge that stranger things have happened.

There’ll be pace, there’ll be pressure, and there’ll almost certainly be goals. And if nothing else, it’s the sort of continental drama that makes you thankful for Thursday night kick-offs.

Bern, brace yourself. Iberia’s finest are about to put on a show.

From a Betting Perspective

It’s Thursday evening, you’ve just burnt your dinner, and the nation’s only realistic hope of joy is now clinging to a football match taking place in Bern. Welcome to Group A, where Spain—reigning queens of global football—stroll confidently into their Euro 2025 opener against Iberian cousins Portugal, who are, well, probably just happy to be invited.

You could say this one’s a mismatch, and you’d be right. The odds suggest Spain winning this is more of a formality than remembering your mother-in-law’s birthday. They’re as short as 1/10 to take the three points. Portugal, meanwhile, have been parked at an eyebrow-raising 30/1. That’s the kind of number usually reserved for UFO sightings or England not bottling it in a semi-final. Even a draw’s considered a major upset, floating modestly at 21/2.

Still, the beautiful game is called that for a reason—it occasionally does absurd things. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. Spain’s bench could probably give Portugal’s starting XI a fright. And judging by the last time these two met (twice, in fact), which ended in 4-2 and 7-1 thrashings in favour of La Roja, this fixture might be less ‘friendly derby’ and more ‘disciplinary meeting in the headteacher’s office’.

Who Gets the Party Started?

When it comes to bagging the opener, Esther González is the obvious troublemaker. She’s sitting top of the first goalscorer pile, fancied at 15/4 to get the party underway, most likely with a firm header or a clinical toe-poke. Right behind her, there’s a pack of familiar faces – Cristina Martín-Prieto, who’s been known to rattle a few crossbars in her time, is floating around 9/2 to open the scoring.

Then there’s the ever-dangerous Alba Redondo, hovering at 5/1, followed by midfield maestro Aitana Bonmatí and the electric Salma Paralluelo, both coming in at 11/2. The pair are as likely to thread a pass through a keyhole as they are to fire a rocket into the top bin. A little further down, Mariona Caldentey tempts at 23/4, while Claudia Pina and Alexia Putellas are sitting on a cautious 6/1 each.

Even Lucía García and Athenea del Castillo have been given a nod by the oddsmen, both lurking at 7/1 for the first goal. And don’t discount teenage sensation Vicky López, who’s quietly drifting around the 8/1 mark. It’s a bit like finding a rare record in a charity shop—unlikely, but not impossible.

Over in Portugal’s camp, things aren’t looking quite as peachy. Their first goalscorer hopes hinge largely on Diana Silva, Jessica Silva, and Telma Encarnacao, all nudging around the 28/1 territory. For those who believe in miracles, Carole Costa, Beatriz Fonseca, and Andreia Norton are sat at a ludicrous 50/1. That’s the same territory as spotting Bigfoot in Basingstoke.

As for the dreaded “No Goalscorer” market? That’s 33/1. Which, frankly, feels generous given Spain’s forward line and Portugal’s penchant for defending like they’ve just met.

Anyone, Anytime?

Now, if you’re less worried about who scores first and more concerned with who scores at all, the Anytime Goalscorermarket becomes a smorgasbord of temptation. Esther González again leads the way at a solid 17/20. If there’s one certainty in this match, it’s probably her name being mentioned in the goals column.

Cristina Martín-Prieto is just about evens (59/50), and Aitana Bonmatí is close behind at 7/5. You’ve then got Alba Redondo at 6/4, followed by Salma Paralluelo and Claudia Pina, both priced at 31/20—like a well-rehearsed duet threatening to ruin Portugal’s evening in perfect harmony.

Alexia Putellas and Lucía García are in the mix as well, around the 29/20 and 13/8 range, respectively. Even defenders like Olga Carmona (15/2) and Ona Batlle (9/1) are within shouting distance, mostly because Spain’s full-backs spend more time in the opposition’s box than their own.

Portugal’s Diana Silva and Ana Capeta sit around 13/2 to find the net at any point, while Encarnacao and Jessica Silva are clinging to 7/1 odds—likely needing either a moment of genius or a complete Spanish meltdown to cash in.

If you really fancy living dangerously, you can toss your chips at Tatiana Pinto, Dolores Silva, or even Samara Lino, who are all priced around the 14/1–15/1 range. A goal from that trio would likely coincide with a total eclipse or spontaneous combustion.

Let’s Talk Scorelines

When it comes to predicting exact scores, the numbers paint a clear story—one heavily coated in Spanish dominance. A 3-0 win for La Roja is the most likely outcome according to the books, landing at 13/2. A tidy 2-0 is just behind at 15/2, while a 4-0 stroll in the Swiss park is 17/2.

Even a relatively modest 1-0 win is pegged at 11/1, but if Spain get into full fiesta mode, then 5-0 (12/1), 6-0 (25/1), or 7-0 (50/1) aren’t entirely out of the question. At that point, it’s less a football match and more an exorcism.

Portugal scoring at all might be seen as a win, but if they do, a 3-1 Spanish win is priced at 12/1. 2-1 and 4-1 follow at the same mark. If Portugal somehow win this match—brace yourself—a 1-0 would net a 70/1 return, while 2-1 is floating somewhere near 100/1. And if Portugal bag three without reply? That’s a cheeky 300/1. Realistically, you’ve got more chance of teaching your cat to drive.

Goals, Glorious Goals?

Now to the Total Goals market—where over 3 goals is being strongly fancied, priced around the 7/17 mark. Over 3.5 goals dips to 3/4, and the lines keep climbing. Four total goals? That’s 5/4. Push to 4.5 and you’re at 19/10. From there, it turns into ‘tonight could be carnage’ territory—5.5 goals at 22/5, 6.5 at 10/1, and a staggering 9.5 goals at 50/1. There’s hope for chaos yet.

Those expecting a cagey affair—or Portugal to cling on for dear life—might favour under 3.5 at evens or under 4 at 4/7. And if you’re banking on a complete dud? Under 0.5 total goals is a ridiculous 33/1. In other words, not happening.

Exact goal totals offer a few nice price points. Three goals exactly lands you 10/3, four is 7/2, and five sits at 5/1. Anything beyond that? You’re probably watching another sport.

Winning Margins That Tell the Truth

The most realistic winning margin? Spain by four or more goals is favourite, sitting at 7/4. A three-goal win offers 7/2, while two goals is the same. Just one goal? 9/2. Feels a bit stingy, that one. Score draw is priced up at 14/1, which frankly feels optimistic unless Portugal manage a miracle with chewing gum and duct tape.

A Portugal win by any margin is pure fantasy: a single goal win is 30/1. Win by two? That’s 125/1. A three-goal Portuguese masterclass? 500/1. Four or more? 750/1. That’s not so much betting as wishful thinking.

Corners Galore or Not at All?

If you’re the sort who counts corners instead of goals, this one’s for you. Under 12.5 corners is the standout at 4/11, with under 11.5 at 4/7. Go slightly lower to 10.5 and you’re looking at 5/6. But if you reckon this’ll be one of those nights where everyone’s crossing like they’re aiming for the moon, then over 9.5 might be more your thing at 3/5.

Corners pushing into the teens can pay well—14.5 corners at 24/5 or 15.5 at 6/1. Feeling brave? Over 20.5 corners? That’s a juicy 28/1. Worth a cheeky look if Spain are particularly relentless down the flanks.

Half Time / Full Time: The Iberian Schedule

Spain to lead at both intervals is, of course, the bookies’ darling at 4/9. A level first half followed by a Spanish second-half pull-away is next at 4/1. And for those who believe in drama, Portugal taking the lead only to lose it is a wild 28/1.

Spain to lead at the half but be held in the second? 35/1. Portugal leading at any point at all feels like fantasy fiction: Portugal/Portugal is 66/1. Spain somehow losing after leading? 200/1. At that point, check the scoreboard for typos.

Final Thoughts from Bern

Let’s be honest. Spain should win this. They probably will win this. The question is: by how much? If Portugal keep it under three goals, they’ll consider that a moral victory. If they nick one on the break? Get the fireworks.

Whatever the outcome, one thing’s guaranteed—goals, drama, and the chance to turn your evening into something a little more profitable. Because while Portugal might not walk away with the points, there’s every chance someone, somewhere, walks away with a very smug grin.

Let the Iberian fireworks begin.

Spain Women v Portugal Women Betting Odds

Outright

First Goalscorer

Anytime Goalscorer

Correct Score

Total Goals

Exact Total Goals

Winning Margin

Total Corners

Half Time / Full Time