We look at the leading contenders for relegation from the top-flight in 2025/26
Premier League 2025/26 Relegation Odds
Odds correct as of Wednesday 28 May 2025, 10:00am UK
Latest Premier League 2025/26 Relegation Odds – William Hill Bet 10 Get £30 in Free Bets
 | Best Odds | Bet £10 Get £30 |
 Sunderland | 2/5 |  |
 Burnley | 4/9 | |
 Leeds United | 5/6 | |
 Wolverh'ton Wanderers | 4/1 | |
 Fulham | 6/1 | |
 Brentford | 6/1 | |
 West Ham United | 7/1 | |
 Everton | 8/1 | |
 Crystal Palace | 8/1 | |
 Bournem'th | 9/1 | |
 Nottingham Forest | 12/1 | |
 Brighton & Hove Albion | 14/1 | |
 Manchester United | 20/1 | |
 Manchester City | 25/1 | |
 Tottenham Hotspur | 40/1 | |
 Chelsea | 150/1 | |
 Newcastle United | 200/1 | |
 Aston Villa | 200/1 | |
 Arsenal | 1000/1 | |
 Liverpool | 1000/1 | |
Sunderland supporters are still basking in the euphoria of their dramatic play-off triumph over Sheffield United, a result that finally ended their eight-year absence from England’s top flight. Wembley was a sea of red and white on Saturday as teenager Tommy Watson’s 95th-minute winner secured a 2-1 victory and wrote himself into Black Cats folklore. Though, in a twist that could only be described as ‘classic Sunderland’, Watson’s fairytale farewell was exactly that—his final kick in a Sunderland shirt, with the 19-year-old already preparing for a new challenge on the south coast with Brighton.
But before the Premier League banners have even had a chance to be ironed out across the Stadium of Light, the harsh realities of top-tier football are beginning to bite. And the bookmakers aren’t exactly helping to soothe the nerves.
Odds-On to Bounce Right Back Down
In the world of betting, markets can often say as much as any pundit, and the message here is clear: Sunderland are in trouble. Fresh from their celebratory trip down Wembley Way, they’ve been swiftly installed as the odds-on favourites to be relegated. At 2/5 to go straight back down, it’s safe to say the optimism on Wearside isn’t being shared by the traders.
The newly promoted trio have all found themselves under immediate pressure from the layers. Leeds United aren’t faring much better at 4/9, while Burnley hover slightly less precariously at 5/6. All three clubs can be backed at shorter than even-money to suffer an instant return to the Championship, a reflection not just of individual squad strength, but of a wider and growing gulf between the Premier League’s haves and have-nots.
For those looking to back—or oppose—the Black Cats with a little help, exciting new UK bookmaker BetTom might be worth a look. New customers can grab up to £25 in free bets, which could cushion the blow should Sunderland start shipping goals as freely as expected.
History Repeating? Recent Trends Offer No Comfort
It would be lovely to spin a tale of promotion as a golden ticket to success, but recent history has been far less poetic. For the second season in succession, all three promoted clubs were promptly relegated. This past campaign saw Leicester City, Ipswich Town and Southampton drop straight back down—just as Luton, Burnley and Sheffield United did the year before.
Even more damning, those three clubs mustered just 12 wins between them across 114 combined games last season. Not exactly a glowing endorsement of the Championship’s readiness for top-flight competition.
Sunderland may hope their narrative will unfold differently, but the signs aren’t exactly encouraging.
Points to Ponder: Promotion with a Caveat
Much has been made of Sunderland’s final points tally in the Championship. Their 76 points would, under normal circumstances, be cause for celebration, but in the unforgiving lens of Premier League survival, it rings alarm bells. By historical standards, it’s on the low side. In fact, you’d have to rewind the clocks to 2013 to find a club that won promotion with fewer points—Crystal Palace, who snuck up with 72 that year.
To illustrate the difference, consider Southampton. The Saints were promoted the season prior with 87 points—11 more than Sunderland’s total—and still finished dead last in the Premier League with just 12 points.
Some will rightly point out that Regis Le Bris’ side had already secured a play-off place with games to spare, leading to a run of five consecutive defeats to close out the season. Perhaps their focus had already shifted to the bigger prize. Even so, it’s difficult to ignore that their form heading into the play-offs wasn’t exactly sparkling.
Hope on the Horizon? Villa’s Example Offers a Glimmer
For Sunderland fans searching for cause for optimism, there’s at least one precedent worth clinging to. Back in 2019, Aston Villa were promoted via the play-offs with—yes, you guessed it—76 points. Today, Villa are not only well-established in the top flight, but they’re also flirting with European football.
It’s proof, if nothing else, that initial perception doesn’t always equal destiny. Clubs can build smartly, invest wisely, and shift the narrative. Whether Sunderland can follow that script remains to be seen.
The Wider Picture: Who Else Could Be in Trouble?
Of course, Sunderland won’t be alone in glancing nervously at the drop zone. Wolverhampton Wanderers are next in line at 4/1, and while they’ve flirted with trouble over the past couple of seasons, a strong finish kept them clear last term.
Fulham and Brentford both find themselves at 6/1, a price that reflects the mid-table mediocrity both clubs now inhabit. It’s the kind of purgatory that can quickly slide into panic if early results go awry.
West Ham United, available at 7/1, will be looking to rebound after an underwhelming campaign, while Everton are at 8/1—a price that, frankly, has hovered in that range for a few seasons now. Crystal Palace are at 9/1, though a strong end to last season may keep the vultures at bay.
Nottingham Forest are a 12/1 shout for the drop, which might seem generous given their flirtation with disaster last year, while Brighton & Hove Albion sit at 14/1. And in a curious twist of odds, Manchester United are out at 20/1 to go down while they’re far bigger odds of 66/1 to win the Premier League.
Betting with BetTom: A Fresh Option for Football Fans
For those looking to have a flutter on the fates of Sunderland, United, or anyone in between, BetTom is worth a mention. This new UK bookmaker is making a splash with a user-friendly platform and a generous sign-up offer of up to £25 in free bets. Whether you’re backing a relegation scrap or tipping the next Leicester-style miracle, it’s a great opportunity to get started with minimal risk.
With combo bets, specials, and football-focused promotions, BetTom are angling themselves as a go-to for punters who want something fresh and exciting. If ever there was a time to shop around for value, it’s now.
Final Whistle: Fight or Flight for the Black Cats
Sunderland’s long-awaited return to the Premier League is, undeniably, a moment to celebrate. But sentiment doesn’t win matches, and their odds tell the story of a club expected to struggle from the off. If Regis Le Bris can mould his squad quickly, pick up points early, and make the most of their underdog status, the narrative could shift.
For now, though, the markets are clear. Survival will take work, grit, investment—and maybe a bit of good fortune. Whether you’re backing them to stay up or sink, there’s no denying: the Premier League just got a little more interesting.
And if you’re betting? A cheeky free bet from BetTom might be just the thing to soften the blow.
