With the Brexit debacle still unresolved, the likelihood is that Theresa May won’t be Prime Minister beyond 2019 with some bookmakers going just 1/4 that 2019 proves to be her last year in office, however should May leave 10 Downing Street in the coming weeks or months, who is likely to replace her?
With the government surviving the threat of a vote of no confidence, there is little likelihood that any General Election will be taking place this year and as such, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has slipped in the betting to be next Prime Minister. The bookmakers are of the firm opinion that Michael Gove will be next in charge, the Secretary of State for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs now 4/1 with Paddy Power Bookmakers to take over from May.
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Gove has been a very enthusiastic supporter of May’s withdrawal agreement and he is in a position to make a case for it where perhaps others couldn’t. He is also the best parliamentary performer in the Conservative Party, a fact which he reminded us of when tearing Jeremy Corbyn to shreds a couple of months ago. His credentials are second to none and should May step aside in the coming weeks, the likelihood is that he would take charge in a caretaker capacity until a successor is confirmed.
Boris Johnstone is also a prominent figure in the party and he would almost certainly put his name into the ring should May decide to quit or is pushed anytime soon, however his odds have drifted to 7/1 in the ‘Next UK Prime Minister’ market making him third favourite behind Gove and David Lidington.
Lidington is being touted as an interim leader although his pro-remain stance might prove to be an issue. The MP for Aylesbury served as Europe Minister between 2010 and 2016 and as such he is very well versed on the thorny subject of Brexit, this making him a leading contender to be next PM.
Next UK Prime Minister – Paddy Power Odds
4/1 – Michael Gove
4/1 – David Lidington
7/1 – Boris Johnson
8/1 – Jeremy Corbyn
10/1 – Jeremy Hunt
12/1 – Dominic Raab
14/1 – Sajid Javid